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Qantas arrests falling domestic demand trend

written by WOFA | May 30, 2016

737-838_VH-VXF_SYDNEY_14MAY2016_SETH JAWORSKI-2
Qantas is reporting improved demand trends across its domestic businesses. (Seth Jaworski)

Qantas says it has “arrested” the decline in revenue per seat in its domestic businesses as it continues to suppress capacity in response to weaker demand.

In its monthly traffic statistics report released to the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) on Monday, Australia’s largest airline group said revenue per available seat kilometre (RASK) across its domestic businesses (Qantas and Jetstar) was lower in April due to Easter falling in March rather than April this year (which also affected some states’ school holiday dates), “demand softness” attributed to the coming federal election and the downturn in the resources sector.

“However, due to the action taken to reduce Group domestic capacity in the fourth quarter of financial year 2016, the negative RASK trend was arrested in April, with improved trends through May and into forward bookings for June,” the statement to the ASX reads.

Qantas said group domestic capacity was down 0.5 per cent in April compared to April 2015, while Qantas Domestic’s seat load factor increased from 73.4 to 74.1 per cent and Jetstar Domestic’s load factor was effectively steady at 80.3 per cent (down 0.1 per cent).

RASK in the Group’s international businesses was also lower.

“Jetstar International RASK declined as it continued to grow into recent capacity additions,” Qantas noted, referring to the higher seat count of Jetstar’s Boeing 787-8s over the A330-200s they replaced.

“Qantas International RASK was lower in the month, reflecting more competitive pricing on routes including the UK and US, and the addition of new services which continue to perform in line with expectations.”

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Overall, Qantas Group capacity increased 3.7 per cent in April, while revenue passenger kilometres increased by 6.4 per cent. As a result group seat load factor increased 2.1 percentage points to 79.4 per cent.

RASK for the financial year to date “was lower” compared to the same period in 2014-15, Qantas noted, but group capacity was up 4.9 per cent and demand up 6.1 per cent, “resulting in a Group revenue seat factor of 80.5 per cent, which was 1.0 percentage points higher than the previous year”.

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